Round 1
VS
ArnaldiNorrie
Matteo Arnaldi vs Cameron Norrie
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay
🕐 Time05:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueParis, France
☁️ Weather8°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeArnaldi $5.8M · Norrie $14.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Clay, Arnaldi (Elo 1693) meets Norrie (Elo 1704). The model favours Norrie at 52%. Form: Arnaldi 1L, Norrie 4L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 48%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Arnaldi–Norrie order).
Cameron Norrie projected to win · 53% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 6-7 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →