Round 1
VS
BerrettiniNakashima
Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay
🕐 Time05:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueParis, France
☁️ Weather8°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeBerrettini $14.1M · Nakashima $6.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Clay, Berrettini (Elo 1730) meets Nakashima (Elo 1617). The model favours Berrettini at 66%. Form: Berrettini 1L, Nakashima 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 66%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Berrettini–Nakashima order).
Matteo Berrettini projected to win · 60% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 4-6 · 2%6-3 7-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →