Round 1
VS
KhachanovShapovalov
Karen Khachanov vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay
🕐 Time05:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueParis, France
☁️ Weather8°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeKhachanov $22.5M · Shapovalov $14.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Clay, Khachanov (Elo 1697) meets Shapovalov (Elo 1581). The model favours Khachanov at 66%. Form: Khachanov 1L, Shapovalov 5L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 66%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Khachanov–Shapovalov order).
Karen Khachanov projected to win · 69% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%6-3 6-2 · 2%4-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →