FT
VS
GeaStruff
Arthur Gea vs Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay · 6-7(3) 3-6
🕐 Time05:00 UTC
📍 VenueParis, France
💰 Career prizeGea $484K · Struff $12.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 29%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Arthur Gea 2% · Jan-Lennard Struff 98% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Gea ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Gea–Struff order).
Jan-Lennard Struff projected to win · 71% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-7(3) 3-6