Qualifying 1st Round
VS
BustaFearnley
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jacob Fearnley
ATP Erste Bank Open · Qualifying 1st Round · Hard
🕐 Time09:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
☁️ Weather12°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeBusta $17.2M · Fearnley $1.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Busta (Elo 1636) meets Fearnley (Elo 1454). The model favours Busta at 74%. Form: Busta 1L, Fearnley 4L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 74%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Busta–Fearnley order).
Pablo Carreno Busta projected to win · 73% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 8%6-3 7-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 4%
Straight sets 56% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →